Volatility and dependence in energy markets

نویسندگان

چکیده

We use a semiparametric GARCH-in-Mean copula model to examine the price evolution and volatility dynamics of crude oil, natural gas, hydrocarbon gas liquids markets using data from January 2002 December 2021. find that uncertainty has positive statistically significant effect on returns oil but negative ethane returns. also Frank is best describe (bivariate) dependence structures between markets, except for relationship butane where Clayton most fitted copula. It suggests weak lower upper tail exists energy returns, there butane. In other words, extremely low prices are associated with liquids, vice versa. When go down, excess comovement in Moreover, strongest gas.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Volatility Transmission in the CO2 and Energy Markets

The main consequence of the launch, in 2005, of the European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS) has been the establishment of a price for carbon emissions. Thus, major energy producers in Europe are now aware of the impact of their polluting activities. The interest in analysing the carbon markets from a financial point of view has exponentially increased since the launch of the EU ETS. How...

متن کامل

A New Approach to Measure Volatility in Energy Markets

Several measures of volatility have been developed in order to quantify the degree of uncertainty of an energy price series, which include historical volatility and price velocities, among others. This paper suggests using the permutation entropy, topological entropy and the modified permutation entropy as alternatives to measure volatility in energy markets. Simulated data show that these meas...

متن کامل

Volatility and a century of energy markets dynamics ¬リニ

JEL classification: E32 C32 How similar is the price behavior of oil, natural gas, and coal? Are there any interactions among these three fuel prices and their volatilities? Using the Yatchew and Dimitropoulos (2016) annual data for the United States, over the period from 1870 to 2014, and state-of-the-art econometric methodology, we explore for spillovers and interactions among the three energ...

متن کامل

Presenting a model for Multiple-step-ahead-Forecasting of volatility and Conditional Value at Risk in fossil energy markets

Fossil energy markets have always been known as strategic and important markets. They have a significant impact on the macro economy and financial markets of the world. The nature of these markets are accompanied by sudden shocks and volatility in the prices. Therefore, they must be controlled and forecasted by using appropriate tools. This paper adopts the Generalized Auto Regressive Condition...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Economics and Finance

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1055-0925', '1938-9744']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12197-022-09609-4